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Texans For Texas

Texas Hold’em – A Congressional Face Off, Bush Carries State’s
Newspaper Editorial Boards, Plus Balls, Beer, & Halloween Masks
Predict Another Bush Win

Texas Tidbits  |  George Uresti’s – Culture Watch

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Cato

 

Texas Hold’em – A Congressional Face Off
Dr. Ron Faucheux has a 98% success rate of calling Senate, gubernatorial, and House races! Dr. Faucheux’s incredible accuracy is the reason that I have chosen to post his “Political Odds Maker” results for Texas' congressional races.

 VOTED OFF THE RANCH  IN THE SADDLE
HD1
Max Sandlin (D) of Marshall is favored to be defeated, 9 to 8 (47.1% chance to be re-elected). Louie Gohmert (R) from Tyler, Texas is expected to win.

HD2
Nick Lampson (D) of Beaumont is favored o be defeated, 9 to 8 (47.1% chance to be re-elected). Ted Poe (R) from Humble Texas is expected to win.

HD17
Chet Edwards (D) of Waco is favored to be defeated, 9 to 8 (47.1% chance to be re-elected). Arlene Wohlgemuth (R) from Burleson Texas is expected to win.

HD32
Pete Sessions (R) of East Dallas is favored to defeat Martin Frost (D) also of Dallas, 4 to 3 (57% chance)

HD4
Ralph M. Hall (R) from Rockwall is favored to be re-elected 100 to 1 (99% chance). This election will make Ralph Hall a first term Republican and a hero to many in East Texas for finally crossing the aisle.

HD10
Mike McCaul (R) from Austin is favored to win this seat, 100 to 1 (99% chance)

HD11
Mike Conaway (R) from Midland is favored to win this open seat, 4 to 1 (80% chance).

HD19
Randy Neugebauer (R) from Lubbock is favored to win over Charles Stenhold, 9 to 8 (52.9% chance)

HD24
Kenny Marchant (R) of Carrollton is favored to win this seat, 4 to 1 (80% chance).


Presidential Pollsters
If you want to keep up with national trends, I suggest the following two pollsters…
Gallup and Rasmussen.

http://www.gallup.com/election2004/
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

 

 

Bush Carries State’s Newspaper Editorial Boards
Texas papers overwhelmingly endorse President Bush! Except for the tax-hiking, government expanding, latte drinking, Volvo driving, New York Times reading, blue-bloods at the Waco, Lufkin, Corpus Christi, Longview and Crawford editorial boards.

 BUSH  KERRY
  •  Dallas Morning News
  •  San Antonio Express-News
  •  Fort Worth Star-Telegram
  •  Houston Chronicle
  •  Austin American-Statesman
  •  Amarillo Globe-News
  •  Beaumont Enterprise
  •  El Paso Times
  •  Victoria Advocate
  •  Tyler Morning Telegraph
  •  San Angelo Standard-Times
  •  Galveston County Daily News
  •  Waco Tribune-Herald
  •  Lufkin Daily News
  •  Corpus Christi Caller Times
  •  Longview News-Journal
  •  Crawford Lone Star Iconoclast

No Endorsements - Nada, Zilch, Zippo
Years ago, absent radio and television, people had a hard time deciding whom to vote for. People in rural Texas just didn’t have access to reliable information. Therefore the good people of Texas relied on the intellectuals found resident in our hallowed halls of journalism to make plain the crooks and carpetbaggers from the Democrats. Since information is now plentiful and can be readily accessed with a Blackberry while stuck in traffic on 635, who needs some uppity editorial board telling us who to vote for?

Below are some reasons why Texas newspapers didn’t endorse this year.
These guys may be on to something.

 NO ENDORSEMENTS - PERIOD
  • Abilene Reporter-News
    “The Reporter-News will no longer - as long as I am editor - endorse anyone for president. Simply put, I believe presidential endorsements by newspapers are no longer useful,” said Terri Burke.

  • Athens Review
    “ We have a sophisticated readership that does not need to be told how to vote,” said Gene Lehmann

  • Bryan-College Station Eagle
    Seven times since 1980 The Eagle has recommended George Bush, father or son, for high government office. We did so because each time we felt that particular Bush was the better candidate. George W. Bush is on the ballot again this year and, although we recommended him for president four years ago, we cannot do so again this year. Nor can we recommend John Kerry.

  • Wichita Falls Times-Record-News
    For president of the United States: We do not endorse either George W. Bush or John Kerry. After reviewing 13 key issues, from the economy to the conduct of the war in Iraq to the creation of jobs, we believe Mr. Bush and Mr. Kerry don't differ enough to make a difference.

  • The Odessa American
    The Odessa American does not endorse candidates for several reasons Practically, we know that, once elected, candidates can change. Positions on which a candidate campaigned are too often forsaken; principles, too often forgotten.

Kerry's Hometown Paper Endorsed...
While this article summarizes the political leaning of the editorial boards of varied Texas newspapers, I cannot resist including this little tidbit… John Kerry’s hometown paper, The Lowell Sun, endorsed GWB! Their endorsement didn’t garner much press though. Hm, I wonder why?

 

 

Balls, Beer, & Halloween Masks Predict Another Bush Win
These Presidential Predictors Are Usually On The Mark

If you are emotionally involved in this year’s election and must know who will win “the most important election in our generation”, don’t look to Gallup, Time, Fox, CNN, or Newsweek for answers. Instead, look to golf balls, beer, and Halloween masks, – they’re pretty accurate predictors of Presidential elections and are more fun than the results of a 1000 person sample with a 3% margin of error. If these indicators are worth anything, it looks like Bush is going to walk away Tueday night with another term under his belt.

Presidential Candidate Golf Balls -

GOLF BALLS -
This presidential "decision-making" tool contains two sets of custom golf balls featuring George W. Bush and John Kerry ($14.99)

Bush leads Kerry again in this golf ball predictor from New York-based Golf People, Inc. In an email, CEO Gary Salman said his company had been selling significantly more boxes of its "Swing2Vote box" containing two golf balls bearing color photographs of Bush compared to a similar box for Kerry.

Obviously, the vote box is intended to let users take a swing at the incumbent or his opponent. But if you're still having problems deciding on whom to vote for, the package suggests other fun ways to help you make up your mind.

Take both balls and inspect the candidates' faces. Make a decision on their appearance. If you remain undecided, the box instructs users to hold a primary vote. Then drop both balls and "see which ball shows the largest post-primary bounce."

 

Texas Based Flying Saucer's Vote With Beer Poll -

FLYING SAUCER'S VOTE WITH BEER -
Flying Saucer's "Vote with Beer" poll shows Bush leading Kerry with more beverage points.

Two weeks ago, Texas-based restaurant chain Flying Saucer started a "Vote with Beer" poll at each of its 10 locations throughout the state. Participants vote for their candidate of choice by earning a point for them every time they buy a 16-ounce pint glass of beer with an image of either Kerry or Bush imprinted on it.

" I am a devout Democrat but everybody else in my office is a devout Republican," said Shannon Wynne, the chain's owner. "So it's a very politically charged environment where I work." Who's winning? So far, it's Bush, with 1,756 beer votes versus 1,245 for Kerry.

But the results might not withstand a recount, at least under traditional election rules: "Some people have been buying two to three glasses of beer to get the points up for their candidate," Wynne noted.

Wynne said the "informal" poll will run six-weeks right up to election day.

 

Boo! Halloween Masks Call Race For Bush -

BOO! HALLOWEEN MASKS DECIDE

The real key to predicting the outcome of the presidential election is this year's face-off of the Halloween masks.

It's as unscientific as it gets, but the theory, according to some people in the costume business, is that the winner in every election since 1980 has been the candidate whose masks were most popular on Halloween.

So far this year, Bush masks have been outselling those of Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry by a 57 percent to 43 percent margin, according to one outfit, BuyCostumes.com, the online arm of Wisconsin-based costume marketer Buyseasons Inc.

BuyCostumes.com says Halloween sales figures from manufacturers, national store chains and its own efforts have accurately picked the last six presidential elections.

So does this mean W. gets a second term in office?

" It hasn't failed us yet," Daniel Haight, chief operating officer at Buyseasons, said in an interview. "The masks are a great way for people to express their political leanings at a Halloween party or at a political gathering."

Sources:
http://money.cnn.com/2004/09/23/news/funny/prez_predictors/
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi%3Ff=/c/a/2004/10/24/INGJV9CVEN1.DTL
http://money.cnn.com/2004/09/21/news/funny/prez_masks/index.htm?cnn=yes

 

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