| Texas
Hold’em – A Congressional
Face Off
Dr.
Ron Faucheux has a 98% success
rate of calling
Senate,
gubernatorial, and House races!
Dr. Faucheux’s incredible
accuracy is the reason that
I have chosen
to post his “Political
Odds Maker” results
for Texas' congressional races.
| VOTED
OFF THE RANCH |
IN
THE SADDLE |
HD1
Max Sandlin (D) of Marshall is favored to be defeated, 9 to 8 (47.1% chance to
be re-elected). Louie Gohmert (R) from Tyler, Texas is expected to win.
HD2
Nick Lampson (D) of Beaumont is favored o be defeated, 9 to 8 (47.1% chance to
be re-elected). Ted Poe (R) from Humble Texas is expected to win.
HD17
Chet Edwards (D) of Waco is favored to be defeated, 9 to 8 (47.1% chance to be
re-elected). Arlene Wohlgemuth (R) from Burleson Texas is expected to win.
HD32
Pete Sessions (R) of East Dallas is favored to defeat Martin Frost (D) also of
Dallas, 4 to 3 (57% chance) |
HD4
Ralph M. Hall (R) from Rockwall is favored to be re-elected 100 to 1 (99% chance).
This election will make Ralph Hall a first term Republican and a hero to
many in East Texas for finally crossing the aisle.
HD10
Mike McCaul (R) from Austin is favored to win this seat, 100 to 1 (99% chance)
HD11
Mike Conaway (R) from Midland is favored to win this open seat, 4 to 1 (80%
chance).
HD19
Randy Neugebauer (R) from Lubbock is favored to win over Charles Stenhold,
9 to 8 (52.9% chance)
HD24
Kenny Marchant (R) of Carrollton is favored to win this seat, 4 to 1 (80% chance).
|
Presidential Pollsters
If you want to keep up with national
trends, I suggest the following two
pollsters…
Gallup and Rasmussen.
http://www.gallup.com/election2004/
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm
Bush
Carries State’s
Newspaper Editorial
Boards
Texas
papers overwhelmingly endorse
President Bush! Except for the
tax-hiking, government expanding,
latte drinking, Volvo driving,
New York Times reading,
blue-bloods at
the Waco, Lufkin, Corpus Christi,
Longview and Crawford editorial
boards.
| BUSH |
KERRY |
- Dallas
Morning News
- San
Antonio Express-News
- Fort
Worth Star-Telegram
- Houston
Chronicle
- Austin
American-Statesman
- Amarillo
Globe-News
- Beaumont
Enterprise
- El
Paso Times
- Victoria
Advocate
- Tyler
Morning Telegraph
- San
Angelo Standard-Times
- Galveston
County Daily News
|
- Waco
Tribune-Herald
- Lufkin
Daily News
- Corpus
Christi Caller Times
- Longview
News-Journal
- Crawford
Lone Star Iconoclast
|
No Endorsements - Nada, Zilch, Zippo
Years ago, absent radio and television,
people had a hard time deciding
whom to vote for. People in rural
Texas just didn’t have access
to reliable information. Therefore
the good people of Texas relied
on the intellectuals found resident
in our hallowed halls of journalism
to make plain the crooks and carpetbaggers
from the Democrats. Since information
is now plentiful and can be readily
accessed with a Blackberry while
stuck in traffic on 635, who needs
some uppity editorial board telling
us who to vote for?
Below
are some reasons why Texas newspapers
didn’t endorse this
year.
These guys may be on to something.
| NO
ENDORSEMENTS - PERIOD |
-
Abilene
Reporter-News
“The Reporter-News will no longer - as long as I am editor - endorse anyone
for president. Simply put, I believe presidential endorsements by newspapers
are no longer useful,” said Terri Burke.
-
Athens
Review
“ We have a sophisticated readership that does not need to be told how
to vote,” said Gene Lehmann
-
Bryan-College
Station Eagle
Seven times since 1980 The Eagle has recommended George Bush, father or son,
for high government office. We did so because each time we felt that particular
Bush was the better candidate. George W. Bush is on the ballot again this year
and, although we recommended him for president four years ago, we cannot do
so again this year. Nor can we recommend John Kerry.
-
Wichita
Falls Times-Record-News
For president of the United States: We do not endorse either George W. Bush
or John Kerry. After reviewing 13 key issues, from the economy to the conduct
of the war in Iraq to the creation of jobs, we believe Mr. Bush and Mr. Kerry
don't differ enough to make a difference.
-
The
Odessa American
The Odessa American does not endorse candidates for several reasons Practically,
we know that, once elected, candidates can change. Positions on which a candidate
campaigned are too often forsaken; principles, too often forgotten.
|
Kerry's
Hometown Paper Endorsed...
While this article summarizes
the political leaning of the
editorial
boards of varied Texas newspapers,
I cannot resist including this
little tidbit… John Kerry’s
hometown paper, The
Lowell Sun,
endorsed GWB! Their endorsement
didn’t garner much press
though. Hm, I wonder why?
Balls,
Beer, & Halloween Masks
Predict Another Bush Win
These Presidential Predictors
Are Usually On The Mark
If
you are emotionally involved in
this year’s election
and must know who will win “the
most important election in
our generation”,
don’t look to Gallup,
Time, Fox, CNN, or Newsweek
for answers.
Instead, look to golf balls,
beer, and Halloween masks, – they’re
pretty accurate predictors
of Presidential
elections and are more fun
than the results of a 1000
person sample with
a 3% margin of error. If
these indicators are worth
anything,
it looks like Bush is going
to walk away Tueday night
with another term under his
belt.
Presidential
Candidate Golf Balls -

This
presidential "decision-making" tool
contains two sets of custom
golf balls featuring George
W. Bush and John Kerry ($14.99) |
Bush
leads Kerry again in this
golf ball predictor from
New York-based Golf People,
Inc. In an email, CEO Gary
Salman said his company
had been selling significantly
more boxes of its "Swing2Vote
box" containing two
golf balls bearing color
photographs
of Bush compared to a similar
box for Kerry.
Obviously,
the vote box is intended to let
users take
a swing at
the incumbent or his opponent.
But
if you're still having problems
deciding on whom to vote for,
the package suggests other
fun ways
to help you make up your mind.
Take
both balls and inspect the candidates'
faces. Make
a decision
on their appearance. If you
remain undecided, the box
instructs users to hold a primary
vote.
Then drop
both balls and "see
which ball shows the largest
post-primary
bounce."
Texas
Based Flying Saucer's Vote With
Beer Poll -

Flying
Saucer's "Vote with Beer" poll
shows Bush leading Kerry with
more beverage points. |
Two
weeks ago, Texas-based
restaurant chain
Flying Saucer
started a "Vote
with Beer" poll
at each of its
10 locations
throughout the
state. Participants
vote
for their candidate
of choice by
earning a point
for them every
time they buy
a 16-ounce pint
glass of beer
with an image
of either Kerry
or Bush imprinted
on it.
"
I am a devout Democrat but everybody
else in my office
is a devout Republican," said
Shannon Wynne,
the chain's owner. "So
it's a very politically
charged environment
where I work." Who's
winning? So far,
it's Bush,
with
1,756 beer
votes
versus
1,245 for Kerry.
But
the results might not withstand
a recount,
at
least under
traditional election rules: "Some
people have
been buying two to
three glasses
of beer to
get the points up
for
their candidate," Wynne
noted.
Wynne
said the "informal" poll
will run
six-weeks
right up
to election
day.
Boo!
Halloween Masks Call Race For
Bush -
The
real
key
to predicting the
outcome
of the presidential
election
is
this
year's
face-off
of
the Halloween masks.
It's
as unscientific
as it
gets, but the
theory,
according
to
some
people in
the costume
business,
is that
the winner
in every
election
since
1980 has
been
the
candidate
whose
masks
were most popular
on
Halloween.
So
far this year,
Bush
masks
have
been
outselling
those
of
Democratic presidential
nominee
John
Kerry
by
a 57
percent
to
43 percent
margin,
according
to
one outfit,
BuyCostumes.com,
the
online arm of
Wisconsin-based
costume
marketer
Buyseasons
Inc.
BuyCostumes.com
says
Halloween
sales
figures
from
manufacturers,
national
store
chains
and
its
own efforts
have
accurately
picked
the
last six presidential
elections.
So
does this
mean
W.
gets
a
second term
in
office?
"
It hasn't failed us yet," Daniel
Haight, chief operating officer
at Buyseasons, said in an interview. "The
masks are a great way for people
to express
their political leanings
at a Halloween party or at a
political gathering."
Sources:
http://money.cnn.com/2004/09/23/news/funny/prez_predictors/
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi%3Ff=/c/a/2004/10/24/INGJV9CVEN1.DTL
http://money.cnn.com/2004/09/21/news/funny/prez_masks/index.htm?cnn=yes
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